[FOMC]미국 금리인상.75bp 인상 (3.25%)

[FOMC]

•금리 : 75bp 인상 (3.25%)

•FED MEDIAN FORECAST SHOWS RATES AT
4.6% IN 2023
3.9% IN 2024

•GDP GROWTH
0.2% IN 2022 (PREV 1.7%)
1.2% IN 2023 (PREV 1.7%)
1.7% IN 2024 (PREV 1.9%)
1.8% IN 2025
LONG-RUN AT 1.8% (PREV 1.8%)

•PCE
5.4% IN 2022 (PREV 5.2%)
2.8% IN 2023 (PREV 2.6%)
2.3% IN 2024 (PREV 2.2%)
2.0% IN 2025
LONG-RUN AT 2.0% (PREV 2.0%)

•JOBLESS RATE
3.8% IN 2022 (PREV 3.7%)
4.4% IN 2023 (PREV 3.9%)
4.4% IN 2024 (PREV 4.1%)
4.3% IN 2025
LONG-RUN AT 4.0% (PREV 4.0%)

•Rate Path 전망(SMART 한)
11월 FOMC : +50 bps (3.75%)
12월 FOMC : +50bps (4.25%)
2023년 2월 FOMc : +25 bps (4.50%)
이후 금리인상 중단
2023년 9월 FOMC : -25 bps (4.25%)
2024년까지 완만한 금리 인하